Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zacapa vs Deportivo Achuapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales, Zacapa
Wed, Feb 5, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacapa host Deportivo Achuapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. This has Deportivo Achuapa written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Zacapa at 0 goals for, 0 against; Deportivo Achuapa at 1 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Deportivo Achuapa slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.05) back Deportivo Achuapa to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zacapa
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Achuapa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zacapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Achuapa come out ahead of Zacapa on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Zacapa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacapa Deportivo Achuapa
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 0 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Zacapa
2:2
Feb 29, 2024 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Zacapa
2:1
Feb 1, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
0:1
Sep 17, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Zacapa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacapa 85 / 100
Deportivo Achuapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacapa Deportivo Achuapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Achuapa conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Deportivo Achuapa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zacapa scored in 29% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Achuapa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacapa

(Home)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

Deportivo Achuapa

(Away)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal20105526:1835
2Comunicaciones2096527:2433
3Antigua2095630:2432
4Coban Imperial20102826:2532
5Malacateco2085730:2629
6Guastatoya2085721:2229
7Marquense2076718:1927
8Deportivo Mixco2067721:2325
9Xelaju2066828:2524
10Deportivo Achuapa20541118:2319
11Xinabajul20451121:3717
12Zacapa00000:00
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)