Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zacapa vs Municipal

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales, Zacapa
Sat, Feb 15, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacapa host Municipal in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Municipal go into this one as the clear favorite. Zacapa have averaged 0.36 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Municipal's 1.77 scored and 0.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Zacapa have won 1 to Municipal's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.80, favoring Municipal. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Zacapa
30%
Draws
64%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Municipal lately — more wins on the board than Zacapa.
  • Model gives Municipal a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 11%
Municipal Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacapa Municipal
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 0 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 0.36 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Municipal
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Zacapa
5:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Zacapa
3:1
Feb 11, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Municipal
0:0
Dec 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Zacapa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacapa 27 / 100
Municipal 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacapa Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zacapa's goal record stands at 29% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Municipal let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Zacapa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Municipal
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacapa

(Home)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

Municipal

(Away)
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)