Sport Picks
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas 
Match Events
13'
13'
Perez M.
Assist: Lopez F.
37'
37'
Magana K.
41'
41'
Zamora S.
AI Match Summary
Zacatecas Mineros in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zacatecas Mineros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tapatio lately — more wins on the board than Zacatecas Mineros.
- Zacatecas Mineros are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Zacatecas Mineros have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 12%
Tapatio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zacatecas Mineros | Tapatio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Tapatio Compare
Top Goalscorer Moragrega V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zacatecas Mineros 40 / 100
Tapatio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zacatecas Mineros Tapatio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tapatio conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Zacatecas Mineros found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Recent resilience: Zacatecas Mineros stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zacatecas Mineros VS Tapatio
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Zacatecas Mineros
(Home) 25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
01 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 4
Tapatio
(Away) 20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
15 Aug
Correcaminos
2 : 3 Tapatio
08 Aug
Venados FC
3 : 2 Tapatio
03 Jul
Club Leon
4 : 2 Tapatio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
