Sport Picks
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tlaxcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sandoval L.
Assist: Villalobos A.
21'
21'
Manriquez S.
32'
32'
Cano J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Zacatecas Mineros and Tlaxcala finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zacatecas Mineros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tlaxcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zacatecas Mineros come out ahead of Tlaxcala on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Zacatecas Mineros taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 11%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zacatecas Mineros | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tlaxcala
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tlaxcala
4:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:3
Aug 24, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tlaxcala
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandoval L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Tlaxcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Camacho Lastra R. E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zacatecas Mineros 40 / 100
Tlaxcala 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zacatecas Mineros Tlaxcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zacatecas Mineros found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Tlaxcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Zacatecas Mineros stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zacatecas Mineros VS Tlaxcala
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Zacatecas Mineros
(Home) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
01 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 3
Tlaxcala
(Away) 04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
