Sport Picks

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Zacatepec vs Alacranes de Durango

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Zacatepec Logo

Zacatepec

2 - 2
FT
Alacranes de Durango Logo

Alacranes de Durango

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Torres J.
44' Event
Oteo D.
55' Event
Chavez Castaneda A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zacatepec
30%
Draws
31%
Alacranes de Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zacatepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alacranes de Durango lately — more wins on the board than Zacatepec.
  • Zacatepec are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Alacranes de Durango arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zacatepec, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 20%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatepec Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 12 8
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Zacatepec
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Alacranes de Durango
2:2
Apr 11, 2004 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatepec vs Alacranes de Durango
4:2
Nov 1, 2003 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Zacatepec
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatepec Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez Castaneda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alacranes de Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oteo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatepec 36 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatepec Alacranes de Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Zacatepec found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Zacatepec has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alacranes de Durango's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zacatepec VS Alacranes de Durango
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatepec

(Home)
26 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 1
Zacatepec
19 Sept
Zacatepec
1 : 0
Purepechas
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6

Alacranes de Durango

(Away)
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Tigres de Alica 2
Halcones de Zapopan 3
Alacranes de Durango -
TBD -
FC Santiago 3
Zacatepec 4
Deportiva Venados 3
Calor De San Pedro 1
Tapachula 1
Tritones Vallarta 2
Apodaca -
TBD -
Tecos 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen 2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz 0
Halcones de Zapopan 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Zacatepec 3
Deportiva Venados 2
Tritones Vallarta 1
Apodaca 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan 1
Alacranes de Durango 2
Deportiva Venados 5
Apodaca 3
Final
Alacranes de Durango 1
Deportiva Venados 2