Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zadar vs Lok. Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2018/2019
Zadar Logo

Zadar

1 - 3
FT
Lok. Zagreb Logo

Lok. Zagreb

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Blazevic V.
22' Event
Uzuni M.
45' Event
Krstanovic I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Lok. Zagreb advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zadar
15%
Draws
34%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lok. Zagreb come out ahead of Zadar on wins alone.
  • Zadar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Lok. Zagreb arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lok. Zagreb, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zadar Clean Sheet 19%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zadar Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2018 Croatian Cup
Zadar vs Lok. Zagreb
1:3
Oct 28, 2015 Croatian Cup
Zadar vs Lok. Zagreb
2:3
May 30, 2015 HNL
Zadar vs Lok. Zagreb
2:2
Apr 3, 2015 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Zadar
1:5
Dec 6, 2014 HNL
Zadar vs Lok. Zagreb
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazevic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzuni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krstanovic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zadar 40 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zadar Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zadar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Zadar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lok. Zagreb let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Lok. Zagreb has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lok. Zagreb
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zadar

(Home)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Din. Zagreb -
TBD -
NK Koprivnica 1
Sloga Mravince 3
GOSK Dubrovnik -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zelina -
Marsonia 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Kurilovec 3
Suhopolje 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Hajduk Split -
TBD -
Visnjevac 1
Vrapce 2
Nehaj Senj 4
Granicar Zupanja 1
TBD -
Sibenik -
Krk 3
Rudar Labin 0
TBD -
Cibalia -
Zagorec Krapina 9
NK Libertas Novska 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Zapresic -
TBD -
Pitomaca 0
Bednja Beletinec 2
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
NK Nedelisce 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Luka Ploce 1
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
RNK Split -
Slavija Pleternica 1
Segesta 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Lok. Zagreb -
TBD -
Zagora 1
Primorac Biograd 3
Vukovar 1991 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
TBD -
Zadar -
Varazdin 3
Dragovoljac 0
Sava Strmec 0
Medjimurje 5
Radnik Krizevci 2
Rovinj 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
1/16-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Sloga Mravince 0
GOSK Dubrovnik 0
NK Zelina 2
Marsonia 3
NK Zagreb 0
Kurilovec 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 2
Vrapce 0
Nehaj Senj 2
Sibenik 3
Krk 1
Cibalia 0
Zagorec Krapina 0
Osijek 3
Zapresic 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Sloga Nova Gradiska 2
Istra 1961 4
Jadran Luka Ploce 3
RNK Split 1
Slavija Pleternica 0
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 1
Primorac Biograd 0
Vukovar 1991 3
Zadar 5
Varazdin 2
Medjimurje 0
Radnik Krizevci 0
Rijeka 9
1/8-finals
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zelina 0
Marsonia 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Hajduk Split 2
Sibenik 1
Krk 1
Osijek 5
Zapresic 2
Istra 1961 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 3
Zadar 1
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Quarter-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Osijek 2
Zapresic 3
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 2
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb 2
Osijek 0
Zapresic 1
Rijeka 2
Final
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3