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Zadar vs Osijek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Spoljaric J.
32' Event
Mance A.
46'
Sub
Susic J. In: Zdrilic L.
Out: Susic J.

AI Match Summary

Osijek in this Croatian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Zadar
20%
Draws
36%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Osijek have won more games recently than Zadar.
  • Zadar are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Osijek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Osijek, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Osijek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zadar Clean Sheet 20%
Osijek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zadar Osijek
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2019 Croatian Cup
Zadar vs Osijek
0:3
Oct 25, 2017 Croatian Cup
Zadar vs Osijek
0:4
Apr 19, 2015 HNL
Osijek vs Zadar
2:1
Feb 8, 2015 HNL
Zadar vs Osijek
3:1
Oct 4, 2014 HNL
Osijek vs Zadar
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zadar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Spoljaric J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mance A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zadar 42 / 100
Osijek 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zadar Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Zadar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Osijek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Zadar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Osijek
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zadar

(Home)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
Page 1 of 6

Osijek

(Away)
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Varazdin 6
Maksimir 2
TBD -
Rudes -
Rijeka -
TBD -
Slavonac Komletinci 2
Buje 3
Opatija 3
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Novigrad -
Karlovac 2
Nehaj Senj 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
TBD -
NK Dinamo Predavac 1
Kurilovec 3
Jadran Porec 3
Borac Imbriovec 1
TBD -
Zapresic -
Zadar -
TBD -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Zagora 5
Vuteks Sloga 2
Bednja Beletinec 1
TBD -
Osijek -
HNK Gorica 10
Zagorec Krapina 0
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Mladost Petrinja 3
Medjimurje 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bijelo Brdo 3
Primorac Biograd 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Hrvace 3
Segesta 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sibenik -
TBD -
NK Nedelisce 0
Slavonija Pozega 2
RNK Split -
TBD -
Jadran Luka Ploce 0
Belisce 1
Jaska Vinogradar -
TBD -
Mladost Klostar Podravski 1
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
Oriolik 6
Suhopolje 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Varazdin 4
Rudes 2
Rijeka 11
Buje 0
Opatija 3
Novigrad 1
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Istra 1961 3
Kurilovec 2
Jadran Porec 3
Zapresic 7
Zadar 2
Zagora 1
Vuteks Sloga 0
Osijek 8
HNK Gorica 8
NK Zagreb 0
Mladost Petrinja 0
Hajduk Split 2
Bijelo Brdo 1
Cibalia 0
Hrvace 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Sibenik 5
Slavonija Pozega 1
RNK Split 1
Belisce 3
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Sloga Nova Gradiska 1
Oriolik 0
Lok. Zagreb 3
1/8-finals
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Opatija 0
Din. Zagreb 3
Istra 1961 1
Zapresic 2
Zadar 0
Osijek 3
HNK Gorica 2
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Sibenik 2
Belisce 1
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Lok. Zagreb 3
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Zapresic 0
Osijek 2
HNK Gorica 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Sibenik 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Semi-finals
Rijeka 3
Osijek 2
Slaven Belupo 1
Lok. Zagreb 3
Final
Rijeka 1
Lok. Zagreb 0