Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kerk S. In: Sypek J.
Out: Kerk S.
46'
Sub
Dziewiatowski M. In: Kolan J.
Out: Dziewiatowski M.
46'
Sub
Kosidis M. In: Szabo L.
Out: Kosidis M.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Zaglebie and Piast Gliwice finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zaglebie
15%
Draws
54%
Piast Gliwice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piast Gliwice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zaglebie come out ahead of Piast Gliwice on wins alone.
  • Model gives Piast Gliwice a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 15%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Piast Gliwice
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.54
Goals Conceded 1 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Sypek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regula M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Piast Gliwice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 10 / 100
Piast Gliwice 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Piast Gliwice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piast Gliwice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Piast Gliwice let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Zaglebie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS Piast Gliwice
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie

(Home)
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1
Zaglebie
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2
Zaglebie
Page 1 of 6

Piast Gliwice

(Away)
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3
Piast Gliwice
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)