Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kerk S. In: Sypek J.
Out: Kerk S.
46'
Sub
Dziewiatowski M. In: Kolan J.
Out: Dziewiatowski M.
46'
Sub
Kosidis M. In: Szabo L.
Out: Kosidis M.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Zaglebie and Piast Gliwice finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zaglebie
33%
Draws
27%
Piast Gliwice
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zaglebie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Piast Gliwice have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Zaglebie are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Model gives Zaglebie a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 68%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Piast Gliwice
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Piast Gliwice
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Sypek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regula M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Piast Gliwice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 50 / 100
Piast Gliwice 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Piast Gliwice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Piast Gliwice let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Zaglebie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS Piast Gliwice
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie

(Home)
18 Jul
Zaglebie
3 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
17 Jul
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Bohemians 1905
08 Jul
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Ostrava
04 Jul
Zaglebie
2 : 0
Pogon Szczecin
01 Jul
Zaglebie
3 : 2
Podbrezova
Page 1 of 6

Piast Gliwice

(Away)
18 Jul
Piast Gliwice
0 : 2
Odra Opole
08 Jul
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2
Legnica
04 Jul
Piast Gliwice
1 : 0
Ostrava
01 Jul
GKS Katowice
0 : 1
Piast Gliwice
27 Jun
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze11002:13
2Wisla Plock11002:13
3Wisla11002:13
4Radomiak Radom11002:13
5Jagiellonia11001:03
6Legia11001:03
7Motor Lublin10102:21
8Widzew Lodz10102:21
9Lech Poznan10100:01
10Cracovia10100:01
11Piast Gliwice00000:00
12Zaglebie00000:00
13GKS Katowice10011:20
14Slask Wroclaw10011:20
15Rakow Czestochowa10011:20
16KS Wieczysta Krakow10011:20
17Korona Kielce10010:10
18Pogon Szczecin10010:10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)