Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zagora vs HNK Zadar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gabric D.

AI Match Summary

Zagora in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Zagora
35%
Draws
13%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HNK Zadar lately — more wins on the board than Zagora.
  • Win probability leans Zagora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Zagora Clean Sheet 17%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora HNK Zadar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Zagora vs HNK Zadar
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL South
Zagora vs HNK Zadar
0:0
Oct 6, 2021 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Zagora
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zagora Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabric D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

HNK Zadar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 84 / 100
HNK Zadar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zagora scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Zagora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

HNK Zadar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

HNK Zadar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS HNK Zadar
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
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