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Zagora vs Neretvanac

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Zagora Logo

Zagora

4 - 1
FT
Neretvanac Logo

Neretvanac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zagora in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Zagora
15%
Draws
26%
Neretvanac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretvanac haven't matched Zagora's recent run of results.
  • Zagora are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Neretvanac have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora Neretvanac
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Neretvanac
4:1
Oct 31, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Zagora
1:0
May 29, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Zagora
2:0
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Neretvanac
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 74 / 100
Neretvanac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora Neretvanac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Zagora's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Zagora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS Neretvanac
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
3 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
02 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Zagora
28 Aug
Bilogora
1 : 0
Zagora
17 Jan
Zagora
4 : 3
Sibenik
27 Sept
Zagora
0 : 2
Istra 1961
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Neretvanac

(Away)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)