Sport Picks
Zagora vs Primorac Biograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Croatia
3. HNL South 
AI Match Summary
Zagora in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zagora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Zagora lately — more wins on the board than Primorac Biograd.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Zagora taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zagora Clean Sheet 20%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zagora | Primorac Biograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.85 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2022 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Primorac Biograd
4:3
Sep 17, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Zagora
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Zagora
2:2
Sep 30, 2020 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Primorac Biograd
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 Croatian Cup
Primorac Biograd vs Zagora
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zagora 42 / 100
Primorac Biograd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zagora Primorac Biograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Zagora found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (39 games).
Defensive concern: Primorac Biograd conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Zagora has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zagora VS Primorac Biograd
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Zagora
(Home) 03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4 Dugo Selo
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3 Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0 Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1 Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4 Varazdin
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4 Dugo Selo
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0 Uljanik Pula
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4 Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1 Dragovoljac
26 Aug
Zagora
4 : 2 Bratstvo Jurovec
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Primorac Biograd
(Away) 30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2 Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4 Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1 RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
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31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
23 Apr
Kamen Podbablje
2 : 2 Primorac Biograd
16 Apr
Uskok Klis
4 : 0 Primorac Biograd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
