Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zagora vs Varazdin

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lesjak S.
46' Event
Mamic L.
49' Event
Juric S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zagora
35%
Draws
39%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varazdin come out ahead of Zagora on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Varazdin's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Varazdin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varazdin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zagora Clean Sheet 12%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora Varazdin
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Croatian Cup
Zagora vs Varazdin
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zagora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Varazdin Compare

Top Goalscorer Juric S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lesjak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 22 / 100
Varazdin 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Zagora found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Varazdin has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Zagora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS Varazdin
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

Varazdin

(Away)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -