Sport Picks

Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023

Jadran Luka Ploce

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zagorec Krapina play Jadran Luka Ploce in the Druga NL 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zagorec Krapina averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Jadran Luka Ploce averaged 1.95 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Zagorec Krapina won 0, Jadran Luka Ploce won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 8, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Zagorec Krapina and 1.05 for Jadran Luka Ploce. This points to a Jadran Luka Ploce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Zagorec Krapina

20%

Draws

50%

Jadran Luka Ploce

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Zagorec Krapina picked up more points recently compared to Jadran Luka Ploce.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 22%

Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zagorec Krapina	Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played	32	39
Wins	11	24
Draws	7	7
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.22	1.95
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Druga NL

Zagorec Krapina vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Oct 1, 2022 Druga NL

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Zagorec Krapina

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorec Krapina 31 / 100

Jadran Luka Ploce 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zagorec Krapina Jadran Luka Ploce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jadran Luka Ploce or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zagorec Krapina attacking → ← attacking Jadran Luka Ploce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorec Krapina scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce let in goals in 59% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zagorec Krapina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 79

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sesvete	30	19	8	3	64:24	65
2	Zrinski Osjecko	30	19	6	5	45:22	63
3	Jadran Luka Ploce	30	17	9	4	54:23	60
4	Mladost Zdralovi	30	14	8	8	48:26	50
5	Bjelovar	30	12	10	8	46:31	46
6	Dugo Selo	30	12	9	9	50:43	45
7	Opatija	30	12	9	9	48:42	45
8	Hrvace	30	10	8	12	48:49	38
9	Belisce	30	10	7	13	39:47	37
10	Jadran Porec	30	9	9	12	51:61	36
11	Marsonia	30	11	3	16	40:52	36
12	Grobnican	30	10	5	15	42:44	35
13	Trnje	30	9	7	14	43:55	34
14	Zagorec Krapina	30	9	7	14	36:53	34
15	Osijek 2	30	7	4	19	32:64	25
16	Medjimurje	30	4	3	23	22:72	15