Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zagorec Krapina vs Trnje

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Smrekar M.
66' Event
Kesse P.
77' Event
Smrekar M.

AI Match Summary

Zagorec Krapina in this Druga NL 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorec Krapina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zagorec Krapina
15%
Draws
46%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Trnje have won more games recently than Zagorec Krapina.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Trnje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 13%
Trnje Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorec Krapina Trnje
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Druga NL
Zagorec Krapina vs Trnje
3:2
Nov 12, 2022 Druga NL
Trnje vs Zagorec Krapina
1:0
May 18, 2022 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Zagorec Krapina
3:1
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Trnje
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Trnje
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zagorec Krapina Compare

Top Goalscorer Smrekar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kanceljak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Trnje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesse P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buzanic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorec Krapina 19 / 100
Trnje 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorec Krapina Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zagorec Krapina scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Trnje has conceded goals in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Zagorec Krapina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagorec Krapina VS Trnje
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorec Krapina

(Home)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
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Trnje

(Away)
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sesvete 30 19 8 3 64:24 65
2 Zrinski Osjecko 30 19 6 5 45:22 63
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 17 9 4 54:23 60
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 14 8 8 48:26 50
5 Bjelovar 30 12 10 8 46:31 46
6 Dugo Selo 30 12 9 9 50:43 45
7 Opatija 30 12 9 9 48:42 45
8 Hrvace 30 10 8 12 48:49 38
9 Belisce 30 10 7 13 39:47 37
10 Jadran Porec 30 9 9 12 51:61 36
11 Marsonia 30 11 3 16 40:52 36
12 Grobnican 30 10 5 15 42:44 35
13 Trnje 30 9 7 14 43:55 34
14 Zagorec Krapina 30 9 7 14 36:53 34
15 Osijek 2 30 7 4 19 32:64 25
16 Medjimurje 30 4 3 23 22:72 15
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)