Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zagorets vs Beroe II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Zagorets and Beroe II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
21%
Beroe II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Zagorets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zagorets's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zagorets have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 12%
Beroe II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Beroe II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.56 0.47
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Beroe II
4:0
Aug 18, 2023 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Zagorets
3:4
May 6, 2023 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Beroe II
2:0
Oct 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Zagorets
1:4
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Zagorets
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 65 / 100
Beroe II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Beroe II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Beroe II conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Zagorets's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Beroe II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
Page 1 of 7

Beroe II

(Away)
31 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
25 May
Botev II
5 : 0
Beroe II
18 May
Beroe II
0 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2
Beroe II
11 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)