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Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Zagorets in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
8%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Borislav Parvomay haven't matched Zagorets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zagorets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zagorets here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 13%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.78 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Zagorets
0:4
Nov 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay
3:0
May 7, 2022 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay
7:0
Oct 30, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Zagorets
1:3
May 8, 2021 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Borislav Parvomay
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 84 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borislav Parvomay has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Zagorets's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zagorets stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 8

Borislav Parvomay

(Away)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)