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Zagorets vs Rakovski 2011 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Zagorets and Rakovski 2011 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
57%
Rakovski 2011
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakovski 2011

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zagorets come out ahead of Rakovski 2011 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Rakovski 2011
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.12 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Rakovski 2011
3:1
Oct 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Zagorets
2:2
Apr 5, 2018 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Zagorets
0:0
Sep 16, 2017 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Rakovski 2011
3:1
May 27, 2017 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Rakovski 2011
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 34 / 100
Rakovski 2011 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Rakovski 2011

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakovski 2011 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rakovski 2011 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Zagorets scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Rakovski 2011 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS Rakovski 2011
1.63 Goals Scored 1.6
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
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Rakovski 2011

(Away)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5
Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3
Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)