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Zakho vs Al Najaf

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Raed H.
89' Event
Cruz W.
90'
Rostam A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zakho
30%
Draws
41%
Al Najaf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Najaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zakho lately — more wins on the board than Al Najaf.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Zakho Clean Sheet 68%
Al Najaf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Al Najaf
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Najaf
1:1
Jan 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Zakho
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Zakho
0:0
Jan 30, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Najaf
1:0
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Al Najaf vs Zakho
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Raed H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Al Najaf Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 41 / 100
Al Najaf 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Al Najaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zakho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zakho scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Najaf conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Zakho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Al Najaf
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

Al Najaf

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)