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Zakho vs Karbala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zakho host Karbala in the Stars League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Karbala have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Zakho have conceded 1.56 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Zakho slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Zakho to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zakho
30%
Draws
23%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zakho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zakho have won more games recently than Karbala.
  • Win probability leans Zakho's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zakho Clean Sheet 20%
Karbala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Karbala
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Zakho
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Karbala
5:0
Jun 27, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Karbala
2:1
Mar 5, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Zakho
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Zakho
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 58 / 100
Karbala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Karbala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zakho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karbala has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Zakho scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Karbala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Karbala
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Zakho
31 Oct
Naft Missan
0 : 0
Zakho
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
17 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Zakho
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 7

Karbala

(Away)
06 Nov
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)