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Zakho vs Naft Missan

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kouvouama C. M.
41' Event
Sawlah M.
52' Event
Kamil M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Zakho and Naft Missan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zakho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zakho
35%
Draws
32%
Naft Missan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naft Missan come out ahead of Zakho on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Zakho Clean Sheet 25%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Naft Missan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Missan
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Zakho
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Missan
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Zakho
1:1
Jun 23, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Zakho
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawlah M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamil M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouvouama C. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 37 / 100
Naft Missan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Naft Missan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Missan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Naft Missan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zakho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Naft Missan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

Naft Missan

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)