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Zalaegerszegi vs Kisvarda FC

Hungary Hungary

NB I. 2025/2026 ZTE Aréna
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalaegerszegi play Kisvarda FC in the NB I. 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zalaegerszegi averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Kisvarda FC averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Zalaegerszegi won 2, Kisvarda FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Zalaegerszegi and 1.63 for Kisvarda FC. This points to a Zalaegerszegi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zalaegerszegi
19%
Draws
30%
Kisvarda FC
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Zalaegerszegi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Zalaegerszegi picked up more points recently compared to Kisvarda FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Zalaegerszegi Clean Sheet 14%
Kisvarda FC Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalaegerszegi Kisvarda FC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs Kisvarda FC
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Zalaegerszegi
3:3
Aug 30, 2025 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs Kisvarda FC
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Zalaegerszegi
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Zalaegerszegi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalaegerszegi Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harangi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kisvarda FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalaegerszegi 49 / 100
Kisvarda FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalaegerszegi Kisvarda FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zalaegerszegi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zalaegerszegi attacking → ← attacking Kisvarda FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalaegerszegi scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Kisvarda FC let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Zalaegerszegi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kisvarda FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 29
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gyor33209465:3069
2Ferencvaros33215767:3168
3Paks331581063:4653
4Debrecen331411851:4153
5Zalaegerszegi331391149:4348
6Puskas Academy331371343:4346
7Ujpest331171548:5740
8Kisvarda FC331171536:4940
9Nyiregyhaza3310101347:5740
10MTK Budapest339111355:6238
11DVTK336101739:6528
12Kazincbarcika33642331:7022