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Zalaegerszegi vs Paks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. ZTE Aréna, Zalaegerszeg
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Calderon J.
Assist: Gundel-Takacs B.
11' Event
Szalai J.
(Penalty)
21' Event
Calderon J.
Assist: Skribek A.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between Zalaegerszegi and Paks finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalaegerszegi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Zalaegerszegi
15%
Draws
53%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Paks's 2.47 goals per match outpaces what Zalaegerszegi have produced (1.57).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zalaegerszegi Clean Sheet 10%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalaegerszegi Paks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs Paks
5:2
Mar 14, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Zalaegerszegi
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs Paks
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Zalaegerszegi
2:2
Apr 22, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Paks vs Zalaegerszegi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalaegerszegi Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderon J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garai Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalaegerszegi 30 / 100
Paks 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalaegerszegi Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Zalaegerszegi found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Zalaegerszegi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalaegerszegi VS Paks
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalaegerszegi

(Home)
20 Sept
Ujpest
2 : 1
Zalaegerszegi
13 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 5
Zalaegerszegi
06 Sept
Zalaegerszegi
1 : 0
Puskas Academy
29 Aug
Honved
1 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
23 Aug
Gyor
3 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
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Paks

(Away)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)