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Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Berenta V.
41' Event
Adetunji K.
45' Event
Rybelis A.

AI Match Summary

Jonava in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jonava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
21%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 have won more games recently than Jonava.
  • Model gives Zalgiris 2 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Jonava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
Oct 31, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs Zalgiris 2
0:4
May 1, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenta V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Adetunji K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rybelis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
Jonava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jonava conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Zalgiris 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS Jonava
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)