Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris 2 vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ligeika M.
32' Event
Momkus J.
39' Event
Ligeika M.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 in this I Lyga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zalgiris 2
33%
Draws
27%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 have won more games recently than Lokomotyvas Radviliskis.
  • Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalgiris 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2016 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2
4:1
Jun 8, 2016 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5:2
Oct 21, 2015 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
4:1
Jun 24, 2015 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2
0:5
Jul 27, 2014 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Zalgiris 2
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Momkus J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kruzikas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ligeika M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 40 / 100
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lokomotyvas Radviliskis conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Zalgiris 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
26 Jun
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Zalgiris 2
21 Jun
Zalgiris 2
1 : 2
Jonava
13 Jun
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Garliava
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Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

(Away)
23 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5 : 1
FK Minija
16 Oct
Marijampole City
7 : 0
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
08 Oct
Silute
1 : 1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
02 Oct
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
4 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Sept
FK Krazante Kelme
2 : 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310
Promotion - A Lyga 2017 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2016 (Relegation)