Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Žalgirio stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Klimavicius N.
25'
Zuperka R. A.
36'
Baksys T.

AI Match Summary

Nevezis Kedainiai in this I Lyga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nevezis Kedainiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zalgiris 2
20%
Draws
23%
Nevezis Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris 2 lately — more wins on the board than Nevezis Kedainiai.
  • Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nevezis Kedainiai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.38 4
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Aug 31, 2023 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Zalgiris 2
4:1
Apr 14, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:4
Oct 8, 2022 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenta V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 83 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Nevezis Kedainiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevezis Kedainiai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Zalgiris 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS Nevezis Kedainiai
1.38 Goals Scored 4
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
28 Jul
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
FK Minija
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
26 Jun
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Zalgiris 2
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Nevezis Kedainiai

(Away)
09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2
Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Transinvest 30 26 1 3 87:22 79
2 Neptunas 30 21 4 5 68:27 67
3 Tauras Taurage 30 18 8 4 56:22 62
4 FK Babrungas 30 17 7 6 64:43 58
5 BFA Vilnius 30 16 7 7 47:36 55
6 FK Atmosfera 30 14 6 10 52:34 48
7 Zalgiris 2 30 11 9 10 50:48 42
8 Jonava 30 11 9 10 26:25 42
9 FK Minija 30 11 3 16 27:46 36
10 Hegelmann Litauen 2 30 8 7 15 35:51 31
11 BE1 NFA 30 8 6 16 35:51 30
12 Ekranas 30 9 2 19 37:58 29
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 30 8 3 19 43:57 27
14 Siauliai 2 30 8 2 20 41:71 26
15 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 7 5 18 32:58 26
16 FK Panevezys 2 30 6 3 21 30:81 21
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2025 (Relegation)