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Zalgiris U19 vs Thor Akureyri U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Zalgiris U19 at 1.67 goals for, 2.89 against; Thor Akureyri U19 at 3 for, 4 against. Head-to-head, Zalgiris U19 have won 1 to Thor Akureyri U19's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.19, favoring Thor Akureyri U19. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zalgiris U19
25%
Draws
35%
Thor Akureyri U19
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zalgiris U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Zalgiris U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Zalgiris U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zalgiris U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Thor Akureyri U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris U19 Thor Akureyri U19
Matches Played 9 1
Wins 4 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.67 3
Goals Conceded 2.89 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Thor Akureyri U19 vs Zalgiris U19
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris U19 30 / 100
Thor Akureyri U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris U19 Thor Akureyri U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor Akureyri U19 let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zalgiris U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Zalgiris U19's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris U19 VS Thor Akureyri U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris U19

(Home)
16 Sept
Thor Akureyri U19
3 : 4
Zalgiris U19
06 Nov
Manchester United U19
6 : 0
Zalgiris U19
23 Oct
Zalgiris U19
2 : 5
Manchester United U19
01 Oct
TNS U19
0 : 4
Zalgiris U19
18 Sept
Zalgiris U19
3 : 2
TNS U19
Page 1 of 2

Thor Akureyri U19

(Away)
16 Sept
Thor Akureyri U19
3 : 4
Zalgiris U19

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Flora U19 3
HB Torshavn U19 0
TBD -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri U19 3
Zalgiris U19 4
Hammarby U19 -
TBD -
Cliftonville U19 0
Super Nova U19 0
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont U19 -
HJK U19 6
FC Ballkani U19 0
TBD -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 4
UNA Strassen U19 0
Valletta U19 0
Partizani U19 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
TBD -
Mladost DG U19 0
Kairat Almaty U19 5
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 4
TBD -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
FC Santa Coloma U19 0
Brera Strumica U19 3
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
TBD -
Zrinjski U19 10
Lincoln Red Imps U19 1
Genk U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
TBD -
Hammarby U19 -
TBD -
Legia U19 -
Clermont U19 -
TBD -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
Zrinjski U19 -
Genk U19 -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -