Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris vs Atlantas

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019 LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Baravykas R.
Assist: Kis T.
35' Event
Paukste L.
Own Goal
45'
Juhnevics N.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this A Lyga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Zalgiris
15%
Draws
0%
Atlantas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlantas haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular A Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zalgiris here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Atlantas
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
5:0
Sep 25, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
4:0
Aug 4, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Zalgiris
1:3
May 26, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
Atlantas vs Zalgiris
0:2
May 17, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Baravykas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Atlantas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 95 / 100
Atlantas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Atlantas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantas let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Atlantas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 74% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
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Atlantas

(Away)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)