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Zalgiris vs Banga

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris host Banga in the TOPLYGA. Little to choose between these two on current form. Zalgiris have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Banga's 1.46 scored and 0.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Zalgiris have won 2 to Banga's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Banga to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zalgiris
15%
Draws
42%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than Banga.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 18%
Banga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Banga
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
0:2
Jul 4, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
1:0
May 3, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 32 / 100
Banga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Banga conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Zalgiris went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Banga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
30 Jul
Zalgiris
7 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
27 Jul
FC Hegelmann
2 : 3
Zalgiris
23 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
3 : 0
Zalgiris
19 Jul
Zalgiris
3 : 1
Transinvest
Page 1 of 6

Banga

(Away)
09 Aug
Banga
0 : 3
Suduva
03 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 3
Banga
19 Jul
Dziugas Telsiai
1 : 0
Banga
12 Jul
Transinvest
1 : 3
Banga
28 Jun
Banga
2 : 0
FC Hegelmann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 21 10 7 4 40:15 37
2 Dziugas Telsiai 23 10 7 6 34:27 37
3 Suduva 21 9 9 3 29:17 36
4 Transinvest 23 10 5 8 32:31 35
5 Zalgiris 21 10 4 7 33:24 34
6 Banga 22 9 6 7 25:19 33
7 FK Panevezys 22 6 5 11 21:38 23
8 FC Hegelmann 24 4 10 10 26:41 22
9 FA Siauliai 23 2 7 14 22:50 13
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)