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Zalgiris vs Banga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

2 - 3
FT
Banga Logo

Banga

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Simao J.
33' Event
Kendysh Y.
Assist: Bilenkyi S.
35' Event
Venckus I.
Assist: Magdusauskas V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Banga in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Banga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Zalgiris
30%
Draws
29%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than Banga.
  • Model gives Zalgiris a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 12%
Banga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Banga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
2:3
Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
0:2
Jul 4, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendysh Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vareika M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Venckus I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malzinskas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 35 / 100
Banga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Banga conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Zalgiris went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Banga
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 6

Banga

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)