Sport Picks
Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
Lithuania
TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius 
AI Match Summary
Zalgiris host FC Hegelmann in the TOPLYGA. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Hegelmann have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Zalgiris have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Zalgiris have won 3 to FC Hegelmann's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Zalgiris. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Zalgiris carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zalgiris | FC Hegelmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Hegelmann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Zalgiris's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Zalgiris remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Zalgiris
(Home)FC Hegelmann
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56:20 | 51 |
| 2 | Suduva | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 39:25 | 50 |
| 3 | Transinvest | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 4 | Zalgiris | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 41:34 | 44 |
| 5 | Banga | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 41 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:40 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | 32 |
| 8 | FC Hegelmann | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 31:48 | 26 |
| 9 | FA Siauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24:58 | 17 |
| 10 | Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
