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Stadium Background

Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

3 - 0
FT
FK Panevezys Logo

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Grajfoner L.
29'
Sesplaukis D.
31' Event
Kendysh Y.
Assist: Petkovic N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zalgiris
15%
Draws
54%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Panevezys haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Panevezys a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris FK Panevezys
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
2:0
Jun 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:0
May 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendysh Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 18 / 100
FK Panevezys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: FK Panevezys conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Zalgiris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS FK Panevezys
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 7

FK Panevezys

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)