Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalla UC vs Pasaia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalla UC in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalla UC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zalla UC
15%
Draws
46%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pasaia have won more games recently than Zalla UC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalla UC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 19%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC Pasaia
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.28 0.98
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Pasaia
4:1
Dec 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Zalla UC
3:0
Feb 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Pasaia
3:0
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Zalla UC
1:4
May 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Pasaia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 31 / 100
Pasaia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalla UC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zalla UC scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Pasaia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 41 outings.

Zalla UC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pasaia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalla UC

(Home)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
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Pasaia

(Away)
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamudio 38 22 8 8 65:40 74
2 Bermeo 38 19 10 9 57:35 67
3 Lagun Onak 38 17 15 6 39:26 66
4 Balmaseda 38 18 10 10 50:35 64
5 Beasain 38 17 12 9 54:36 63
6 CD Vitoria 38 17 10 11 47:32 61
7 Santutxu FC 38 14 11 13 39:33 53
8 Pasaia 38 15 8 15 36:48 53
9 Zalla UC 38 13 13 12 54:43 52
10 SCD Durango 38 11 17 10 29:34 50
11 Deportivo Getxo 38 12 12 14 43:38 48
12 Alaves B 38 13 9 16 54:52 48
13 Real Sociedad C 38 12 11 15 45:48 47
14 Basconia 38 13 8 17 53:62 47
15 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 40:46 45
16 SD Deusto 38 10 15 13 38:46 45
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 11 8 19 50:76 41
18 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 8 14 16 33:50 38
19 CD Betono 38 7 11 20 36:56 32
20 UD Aretxabaleta 38 5 15 18 34:60 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)