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Zamalek vs Al Ittihad Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Tue, Jan 19, 2027
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Ittihad Alexandria have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Zamalek have conceded 0.72 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Zamalek have won 3 to Al Ittihad Alexandria's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.81) back Zamalek to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zamalek
15%
Draws
36%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria haven't matched Zamalek's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zamalek's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Zamalek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zamalek, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Jan 1, 2026 League Cup
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Zamalek
3:0
Dec 29, 2024 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
May 27, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Zamalek
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 40 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek Al Ittihad Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamalek found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zamalek remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Ittihad Alexandria let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zamalek VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamalek

(Home)
07 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 3
ZED FC
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)