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Zamalek vs Kaizer Chiefs

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Maboe L.
23'
Ndlovu S.
29'
Shehata M.

AI Match Summary

Zamalek in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Zamalek
35%
Draws
21%
Kaizer Chiefs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zamalek lately — more wins on the board than Kaizer Chiefs.
  • Model gives Zamalek a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Zamalek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zamalek, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%
Kaizer Chiefs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek Kaizer Chiefs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs Kaizer Chiefs
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Kaizer Chiefs vs Zamalek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamalek Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan Alvina
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Said A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kaizer Chiefs Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilepo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 95 / 100
Kaizer Chiefs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek Kaizer Chiefs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamalek went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zamalek scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kaizer Chiefs let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Zamalek VS Kaizer Chiefs
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamalek

(Home)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

Kaizer Chiefs

(Away)
20 Sept
Golden Arrows
0 : 0
Kaizer Chiefs
12 Sept
Polokwane City
1 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
06 Sept
Kaizer Chiefs
3 : 2
Siwelele
26 Aug
Richards Bay
2 : 2
Kaizer Chiefs
15 Aug
Kaizer Chiefs
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)