Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamalek vs Zesco

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Dunga N.
42' Event
Jaziri S.
Assist: Maher N.
55'
Mkhonta L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Zamalek advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zamalek
15%
Draws
39%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zamalek come out ahead of Zesco on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Zamalek taking it.
  • Zamalek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zamalek, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%
Zesco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek Zesco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Zamalek
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs Zesco
1:0
Jan 10, 2020 CAF Champions League
Zamalek vs Zesco
2:0
Dec 28, 2019 CAF Champions League
Zesco vs Zamalek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamalek Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaziri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Zesco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 59 / 100
Zesco 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek Zesco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Zamalek stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zamalek found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Zesco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zamalek VS Zesco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamalek

(Home)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

Zesco

(Away)
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Mines
1 : 2
Zesco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)