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Stadium Background

Zamalek vs Zesco

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Cairo International Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zamalek play Zesco in the CAF Confederation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zamalek averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Zesco averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Zamalek won 2, Zesco won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Zamalek and 0.63 for Zesco. This points to a Zamalek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zamalek
20%
Draws
31%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Zamalek picked up more points recently compared to Zesco.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 29%
Zesco Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 42%
Second Half Goal 45%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek Zesco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Zamalek
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs Zesco
1:0
Jan 10, 2020 CAF Champions League
Zamalek vs Zesco
2:0
Dec 28, 2019 CAF Champions League
Zesco vs Zamalek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamalek Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaziri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zesco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 50 / 100
Zesco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek Zesco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zamalek or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zamalek attacking → ← attacking Zesco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamalek scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Zesco let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Zamalek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zesco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 39
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USM Alger64209:414
2Olympique de Safi64117:413
3Djoliba61145:74
4San Pedro61058:143
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wydad Athletic65019:215
2AS Maniema64028:312
3Azam63034:69
4Nairobi United60061:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CR Belouizdad650111:515
2Otoho d'Oyo630310:69
3Singida Black Stars61233:65
4Stellenbosch FC61232:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zamalek63216:411
2Al Masry63129:710
3Kaizer Chiefs63127:610
4Zesco61053:83