Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia U20 vs Angola U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2022 Somhlolo Stadium, Lobamba
Fri, Oct 14, 2022
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Makokisa D.
31' Event
Kaly
35'
Chulu A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Zambia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
28%
Angola U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Angola U20 haven't matched Zambia U20's recent run of results.
  • Zambia U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Zambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Angola U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Angola U20
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 21 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.69 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 COSAFA Championship U20
Angola U20 vs Zambia U20
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Angola U20
1:3
Oct 14, 2022 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Angola U20
2:1
Dec 13, 2020 COSAFA Championship U20
Angola U20 vs Zambia U20
2:1
Dec 12, 2019 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Angola U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Songa C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Angola U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaly
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 59 / 100
Angola U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Angola U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (36 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Angola U20 conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zambia U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Angola U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Namibia U20
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
Page 1 of 8

Angola U20

(Away)
23 Sept
Lesotho U20
0 : 5
Angola U20
21 Sept
South Africa U20
2 : 0
Angola U20
19 Sept
Angola U20
4 : 0
Eswatini U20
12 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 2
Zambia U20
11 Jul
South Africa U20
2 : 0
Angola U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mozambique U20 2
South Africa U20 1
Zambia U20 2
Angola U20 1
Final
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 1
South Africa U20 2
Angola U20 1