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Zambia U20 vs Gambia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ng'ambi R. In: Mutandwa K.
Out: Ng'ambi R.
53'
Sub
Gibba A. In: Sawaneh M.
Out: Gibba A.
53'
Sub
Singhateh E. In: Marong M.
Out: Singhateh E.

AI Match Summary

Gambia U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
21%
Gambia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gambia U20 haven't matched Zambia U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zambia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Gambia U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Zambia U20 vs Gambia U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Gambia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Drammeh K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 95 / 100
Gambia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Gambia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zambia U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gambia U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Gambia U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Namibia U20
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
Page 1 of 6

Gambia U20

(Away)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams