Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia U20 vs Mozambique U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2018 game between Zambia U20 and Mozambique U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
36%
Mozambique U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zambia U20 come out ahead of Mozambique U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zambia U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Mozambique U20
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 22 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Zambia U20
0:1
Dec 11, 2020 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Zambia U20
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Mozambique U20
1:1
May 25, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Zambia U20 vs Mozambique U20
2:0
May 10, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mozambique U20 vs Zambia U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 39 / 100
Mozambique U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Mozambique U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zambia U20 scored in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Mozambique U20 conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Zambia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Mozambique U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Namibia U20
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
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Mozambique U20

(Away)
27 Sept
South Africa U20
2 : 1
Mozambique U20
25 Sept
Namibia U20
0 : 3
Mozambique U20
22 Sept
Mozambique U20
5 : 0
Mauritius U20
20 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Namibia U20
18 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 1
Seychelles U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia U20 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Mozambique U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Malawi U20 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Mauritius U20 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
3 Eswatini U20 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Angola U20 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Botswana U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Lesotho U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)