Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia U20 vs Zimbabwe U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Thu, Mar 21, 2024
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zambia U20 host Zimbabwe U20 in the Friendly International 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Zambia U20 have averaged 1.56 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Zimbabwe U20's 1.31 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Zambia U20 have won 1 to Zimbabwe U20's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2024, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.19) point toward Zambia U20. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
17%
Zimbabwe U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Zambia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zambia U20 a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Zimbabwe U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Zimbabwe U20
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.56 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 COSAFA Championship U20
Zimbabwe U20 vs Zambia U20
2:3
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Zambia U20 vs Zimbabwe U20
0:0
Dec 11, 2018 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Zimbabwe U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 85 / 100
Zimbabwe U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Zimbabwe U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Zimbabwe U20 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Zambia U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Zimbabwe U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
12 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 2
Zambia U20
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Zimbabwe U20

(Away)
08 Jul
Angola U20
2 : 0
Zimbabwe U20
06 Jul
Namibia U20
3 : 2
Zimbabwe U20
04 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
03 Oct
Zimbabwe U20
2 : 3
Zambia U20
30 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
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