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Zambia U23 vs Sierra Leone U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Zambia U23 Logo

Zambia U23

1 - 0
FT
Sierra Leone U23 Logo

Sierra Leone U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zambia U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zambia U23
25%
Draws
35%
Sierra Leone U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zambia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zambia U23 lately — more wins on the board than Sierra Leone U23.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zambia U23 taking it.
  • Zambia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U23 Sierra Leone U23
Matches Played 17 2
Wins 5 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 0.94 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zambia U23 vs Sierra Leone U23
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sierra Leone U23 vs Zambia U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U23 42 / 100
Sierra Leone U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U23 Sierra Leone U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone U23 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Zambia U23 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Zambia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U23 VS Sierra Leone U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 17%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U23

(Home)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

Sierra Leone U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
22 Oct
Sierra Leone U23
1 : 1
Zambia U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1