Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Ahmed N.
31'
31'
Madi I.
Assist: Haslane A.
40'
40'
Sakala T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comoros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zambia haven't matched Comoros's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Comoros taking it.
- Comoros arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Comoros, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Zambia Clean Sheet 12%
Comoros Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zambia | Comoros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs Comoros
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 COSAFA Cup
Zambia vs Comoros
0:1
Jul 2, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Comoros vs Zambia
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Comoros vs Zambia
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 COSAFA Cup
Zambia vs Comoros
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zambia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
Comoros Compare
Top Goalscorer Madi I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zambia 11 / 100
Comoros 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zambia Comoros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comoros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Comoros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Zambia found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).
Comoros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Zambia VS Comoros
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Zambia
(Home) 31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0 Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3 Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0 Comoros
22 Dec
Mali
1 : 1 Zambia
16 Dec
D.R. Congo
2 : 0 Zambia
Page 1 of 6
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3 Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0 Comoros
12 Oct
Zambia
0 : 1 Niger
08 Sept
Zambia
0 : 2 Morocco
17 Aug
Zambia
0 : 1 Kenya
Page 1 of 3
Comoros
(Away) 09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1 Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0 Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0 Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0 Mali
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1 Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0 Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0 Comoros
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0 Comoros
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Mauritius | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 3 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Lesotho | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madagascar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Eswatini | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 2 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 3 | Zambia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup (Play Offs)
