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Zambia W vs Malawi W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2020
Zambia W Logo

Zambia W

0 - 1
FT
Malawi W Logo

Malawi W

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Malawi W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zambia W
15%
Draws
51%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Malawi W haven't matched Zambia W's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Zambia W taking it.
  • Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Malawi W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Zambia W
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Malawi W vs Zambia W
1:1
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Malawi W
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Malawi W
2:0
Oct 31, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Malawi W vs Zambia W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 67 / 100
Malawi W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Malawi W conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Zambia W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS Malawi W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Angola W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 7:11 3
4 Comoros W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Zambia W 2 1 0 1 8:1 3
3 Lesotho W 2 0 0 2 0:17 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botswana W 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Tanzania W 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Zimbabwe W 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2020 (Play Offs)