Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia W vs Uganda W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2018 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Zambia W
15%
Draws
26%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia W have won more games recently than Uganda W.
  • Win probability leans Zambia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uganda W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Uganda W
Matches Played 44 36
Wins 26 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2022 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Uganda W
0:5
Oct 5, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Uganda W
1:0
Sep 21, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Uganda W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 85 / 100
Uganda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (42 games).

Uganda W let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Zambia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
Page 1 of 9

Uganda W

(Away)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zambia W 0
Cameroon W 1
South Africa W 2
Uganda W 0
Final
Cameroon W 1
South Africa W 2
Zambia W 0
Uganda W 1