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Zambia W vs Zimbabwe W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zambia W play Zimbabwe W in the Friendly International Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zambia W averaged 2.49 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Zimbabwe W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Zambia W won 4, Zimbabwe W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Zambia W and 1.13 for Zimbabwe W. This points to a Zambia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Zambia W
17%
Draws
30%
Zimbabwe W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Zambia W picked up more points recently compared to Zimbabwe W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 21%
Zimbabwe W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Zimbabwe W
Matches Played 39 27
Wins 25 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.49 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Zimbabwe W
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Zimbabwe W
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Zimbabwe W
0:0
Dec 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Zimbabwe W
3:1
Oct 13, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Zimbabwe W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Phiri E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nanyangwe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zimbabwe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ncube N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 52 / 100
Zimbabwe W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Zimbabwe W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zambia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zambia W attacking → ← attacking Zimbabwe W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

Zimbabwe W let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zambia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zimbabwe W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

82 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13