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Zamora vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Zamora Logo

Zamora

4 - 1
FT
Amorebieta Logo

Amorebieta

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Romero Morillo A.
40' Event
Sancho J.
45' Event
Codina M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zamora in this Copa Federacion 2025 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zamora
35%
Draws
25%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zamora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zamora lately — more wins on the board than Amorebieta.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Zamora taking it.
  • Zamora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zamora, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zamora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Zamora Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Zamora vs Amorebieta
4:1
Apr 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Amorebieta vs Zamora
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Amorebieta
5:0
Mar 25, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Zamora vs Amorebieta
2:1
Dec 7, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Zamora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero Morillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sancho J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Elias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 59 / 100
Amorebieta 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Zamora's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Amorebieta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Zamora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Amorebieta
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1
Zamora
04 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Zamora
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Amorebieta

(Away)
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0