Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamora vs Lugo

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Luengo Herrera L. M.
33' Event
Palma A.
Assist: Haro P.
41' Event
Gallar A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Zamora and Lugo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zamora
20%
Draws
52%
Lugo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Zamora are scoring more at 1.24.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Lugo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Zamora Clean Sheet 19%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Lugo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Lugo
1:2
May 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Zamora
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Lugo
1:0
May 17, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Zamora
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Lugo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lugo Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 28 / 100
Lugo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Lugo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Lugo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zamora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Lugo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Lugo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1
Zamora
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Lugo

(Away)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Lugo
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3
Lugo
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Cacereno 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Lugo 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Real Union 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
6 Mirandes 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Pontevedra 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
8 Racing Club Ferrol 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Ponferradina 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
10 Leonesa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
11 Deportivo Fabril 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
12 Real Aviles 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 CD Coria 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Zamora 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
15 Barakaldo 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 AD Merida 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
17 CD Extremadura 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
19 Arenas Getxo 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
20 UD Ourense 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)