Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamora vs Portuguesa

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Agustín Tovar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zamora play Portuguesa in the Liga FUTVE. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zamora averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Portuguesa averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Zamora won 2, Portuguesa won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Zamora and 0.94 for Portuguesa. This points to a Zamora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Zamora
19%
Draws
37%
Portuguesa
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Zamora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Zamora picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Zamora Clean Sheet 24%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Portuguesa
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Portuguesa
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Portuguesa
1:0
Feb 7, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Zamora
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Zamora
2:3
Jun 30, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Zamora vs Portuguesa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Canete J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 44 / 100
Portuguesa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Portuguesa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zamora or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zamora attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Portuguesa let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zamora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264