Sport Picks
Zamudio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Ortega E.
71'
71'
Calderon E.
80'
80'
Nunez Abasolo I.
AI Match Summary
Zamudio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamudio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Zamudio haven't matched Aurrera de Vitoria's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Aurrera de Vitoria's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 17%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zamudio | Aurrera de Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Zamudio
3:1
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
4:1
Dec 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Zamudio
1:1
Apr 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zamudio Compare
Top Goalscorer Calderon E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nunez Abasolo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Aurrera de Vitoria Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zamudio 15 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zamudio Aurrera de Vitoria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Zamudio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Aurrera de Vitoria has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Zamudio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zamudio VS Aurrera de Vitoria
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Zamudio
(Home) 09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1 Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2 Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1 Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1 Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2 Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1 Santurtzi
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0 Pasaia
29 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 0 SD Deusto
14 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 2 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
(Away) 05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0 Amorebieta
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
18 Apr
Derio
1 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
01 Apr
Alaves C
1 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
15 Mar
Eibar C
0 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
