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Zamudio vs Bermeo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zamudio
35%
Draws
28%
Bermeo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zamudio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zamudio lately — more wins on the board than Bermeo.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Zamudio taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 20%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamudio Bermeo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.16 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Bermeo
0:0
Dec 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Zamudio
1:1
May 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Zamudio
2:0
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Bermeo
2:0
Jan 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Bermeo
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamudio 49 / 100
Bermeo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamudio Bermeo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamudio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermeo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zamudio scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zamudio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamudio VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamudio

(Home)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 7

Bermeo

(Away)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 26 8 4 65:21 86
2 Sestao 38 22 12 4 74:36 78
3 Alaves B 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
4 San Ignacio 38 17 12 9 66:36 63
5 Balmaseda 38 17 12 9 50:36 63
6 Basconia 38 16 12 10 64:52 60
7 Real Sociedad C 38 16 11 11 71:48 59
8 Somorrostro 38 14 15 9 59:43 57
9 Sodupe 38 11 17 10 49:45 50
10 Pasaia 38 12 13 13 33:46 49
11 Santutxu FC 38 12 12 14 38:48 48
12 Lagun Onak 38 12 12 14 46:46 48
13 Beasain 38 9 19 10 46:40 46
14 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 33:42 45
15 SD Deusto 38 10 13 15 41:55 43
16 Zamudio 38 10 9 19 42:66 39
17 Amurrio Club 38 8 10 20 30:64 34
18 Ordizia 38 5 16 17 40:72 31
19 SD San Pedro 38 6 11 21 40:69 29
20 Bermeo 38 2 13 23 24:71 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)