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Zamudio vs Eibar C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Odriozola I.

AI Match Summary

Zamudio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamudio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zamudio
30%
Draws
47%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Eibar C at 1.31 per game, Zamudio at 1.2.
  • Model gives Eibar C a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 13%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamudio Eibar C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Eibar C
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Zamudio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamudio Compare

Top Goalscorer Odriozola I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Eibar C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamudio 10 / 100
Eibar C 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamudio Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Zamudio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zamudio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zamudio VS Eibar C
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamudio

(Home)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

Eibar C

(Away)
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
11 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 1
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)