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Zapresic vs Kustosija

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2022/2023 Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić, Zaprešić
Sat, Aug 27, 2022
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zapresic host Kustosija in the Prva NL 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Zapresic have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Kustosija's 1.41 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Zapresic have won 2 to Kustosija's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Kustosija to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zapresic
30%
Draws
31%
Kustosija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zapresic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zapresic haven't matched Kustosija's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zapresic a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva NL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 20%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapresic Kustosija
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Kustosija
0:0
May 7, 2022 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Zapresic
1:1
Nov 5, 2021 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Kustosija
2:1
May 1, 2021 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Zapresic
0:1
Oct 30, 2020 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Kustosija
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapresic 42 / 100
Kustosija 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapresic Kustosija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Zapresic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kustosija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Zapresic's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zapresic VS Kustosija
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapresic

(Home)
03 Oct
Zapresic
0 : 0
Bjelovar
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Zapresic
2 : 3
Uskok Klis
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
Zapresic
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Kustosija

(Away)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 7 7 56:26 64
2 Vukovar 1991 33 17 12 4 57:25 63
3 Cibalia 33 13 15 5 37:26 54
4 Bijelo Brdo 33 12 8 13 41:37 44
5 Jarun 33 13 5 15 43:57 44
6 Orijent 33 10 13 10 45:45 43
7 Croatia Zmijavci 33 12 7 14 37:44 43
8 Solin 33 12 7 14 47:55 43
9 Dubrava Zagreb 33 11 9 13 38:39 42
10 Dugopolje 33 9 14 10 30:35 41
11 Kustosija 33 9 7 17 35:50 34
12 Dragovoljac 33 4 10 19 32:59 22
Promotion - HNL 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2023/2024 (Main)